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In our portfolio management practice, we focus on weekly and monthly data to smooth out daily volatility. Since we are longer-term investors, our focus remains ...

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  • Technically Speaking: The Bear Still Cometh
    By on February 23, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    In our portfolio management practice, we focus on weekly and monthly data to smooth out daily volatility. Since we are longer-term investors, our focus remains on being invested during rising (bullish) trends and more heavily weighted to fixed income and cash during declining (bearish) trends. T...
  • Using Recent Bubbles to Estimate a Bottom in Bitcoin
    By on February 7, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    There is a very good chance we witnessed the top in bitcoin when it hit just under $20,000 in December of 2017. The rapid price gains it achieved last year officially put it in the record books as the largest bubble ever recorded, exceeding even the Tulip Mania of 1634-1637.   With the amount of a...
  • Is the 9-Year Long Dead Cat Bounce Finally Ending?
    By on February 7, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    Ignoring or downplaying these fundamental forces has greatly increased the fragility of the status quo. The term dead cat bounce is market lingo for a “recovery” after markets decline due to fundamental reversals. Markets tend to bounce back after sharp declines as participants (human an...
  • Gold Upleg Breaking Out
    By on January 31, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold’s strong upleg accelerated this week, powering to major new breakout highs.  Speculators rushed to buy gold futures following surprising weak-dollar comments from the US Treasury Secretary, which hit the US dollar hard.  That boosted gold to critical technical levels that should really inte...
  • The Fed Will Ignite The Next ‘Financial Crisis&...
    By on January 31, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    There seems to be a very large consensus the markets have entered into a “permanently high plateau,” or an era in which price corrections in asset prices have been effectively eliminated through fiscal and monetary policy. Partnering with this fairytale like mindset is an overwhelming sense o...
  • Bitcoin | The Greatest Bubble of All Time…
    By on January 30, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    “Wild” doesn’t begin to describe Bitcoin’s price action. Less than 12 months ago, it traded as low as $1,200. By early December, it hit a high of $19,891 – and on the CBOE, Bitcoin futures topped $20,000. Then, on December 22, Bitcoin crashed to $10,400… then rebounded as...
  • Gold Jumps To Crucial Technical Level. Important Acti...
    By on January 30, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    After what seems like a decade in the shadow of tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, gold and silver are rocking again. Which of course leaves everyone wondering if this is the beginning of the long-awaited epic run, or just a head fake preceding yet another grinding, protracted, soul-sucking decline. ...
  • Records Were Made to Be Broken…
    By on January 30, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    They say records are made to be broken and, so far, the US economy is on track to do just that. The current economic expansion is now the third longest in US history going back to 1854. If it can survive through May 2018, it will be the second longest and, if able to survive to July 2019, it will of...
  • GDX $25 Breakout on Earnings
    By on January 22, 2018 | No Comments  Comments
    The world’s leading gold-stock ETF is nearing a major upside breakout from key technical levels.  GDX is getting closer to challenging and powering above $25.  That would accelerate the sentiment shift in this deeply-undervalued sector back to bullish, enticing investors to return.  Good operat...
  • Stock Markets Hyper-Risky 2
    By on December 30, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The US stock markets enjoyed an extraordinary surge in 2017, shattering all kinds of records.  This was fueled by hopes for big tax cuts soon since Republicans regained control of the US government.  But such relentless rallying has catapulted complacency, euphoria, and valuations to dangerous bul...
  • Gold Stocks Coiled Spring 2
    By on December 28, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The gold miners’ stocks largely ground sideways in 2017, lagging gold’s solid rally.  Being trapped in this vexing consolidation has decimated sentiment, leaving a bearish wasteland bereft of hope.  But contrary to perceptions, this deeply-out-of-favor sector is actually a coiled spring today....
  • Stock Market Optimism Approaches Days of Roman Empire
    By on October 31, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    Stock Market Optimism Approaches Days of Roman Empire Investors are placing a stock market bet of record degree By Elliott Wave International If there’s ever been a time to resist the impulse to follow the investing crowd, now is that time. Large speculators are making a bet that’s fou...
  • Silver Stocks Comatose
    By on October 31, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The silver miners’ stocks have mostly drifted sideways this year, looking vexingly comatose.  Such dull price action repels speculators and investors, so they’ve largely abandoned this lackluster sector.  That weak trader participation has led to silver stocks’ responsiveness to silver price...
  • Are Cryptocurrencies Inflationary?
    By on October 31, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    There’s a debate raging over what, exactly, bitcoin and the thousand or so other cryptocurrencies actually are. Some heavy-hitters are weighing in with strong, if not always coherent opinions: Jamie Dimon calls bitcoin a ‘fraud’ JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon did not mince words when asked abo...
  • How to Tell the ‘Size of the Forming Top’...
    By on October 25, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    How to Tell the “Size of the Forming Top” in U.S. Stocks Why these “trivial” indicators are actually historic red flags By Elliott Wave International Many investors see almost no risk in the stock market. Indeed, they are betting to a record degree that the stock market wil...
  • Technically Speaking: Clarifying Overbought, Extended...
    By on October 25, 2017 | No Comments  Comments
    The market is downright bullish. There is little reason to argue the point given the bullish trends of markets globally which are strongly trending, positively correlated, and simultaneously breaking out to all-time highs. Of course, such is not surprising given the massive levels of Central Bank ...

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