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What I am about to share with you is quite stunning.  A well-respected financial expert that correctly predicted the last two stock market crashes is now warn...

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  • Expert That Correctly Called Last Two Stock Market Cr...
    By on August 1, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    What I am about to share with you is quite stunning.  A well-respected financial expert that correctly predicted the last two stock market crashes is now warning that we are right on the verge of the next one.  John Hussman is a former professor of economics and international finance at the Unive...
  • Technically Speaking: A Sellable Rally
    By on July 30, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    “Technically Speaking” is a regular Tuesday commentary updating current market trends and highlighting shorter-term investment strategies, risks, and potential opportunities. This commentary also updates the more detailed analysis and allocation model provided weekly in the X-Factor Repo...
  • Currencies Depend on Faith, Gold Doesn’t
    By on July 30, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    In his July 17th Blog, Let’s Get Real About Gold, author and Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig likened investor interest in gold with the “Pet Rock” craze of the 1970’s, when consumers became convinced that a rock in a box would provide continuous companionship, eleva...
  • China: Major Devaluation Coming
    By on July 29, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The whole “market economy” thing is turning out to be a little trickier than China’s dictators expected. To set up the story: After the 2008 crash the country borrowed about $15 trillion (an amount that dwarfs the US Fed’s quantitative easing programs) and spent the proceeds on history’s b...
  • Central Banks Ready To Panic — Again
    By on July 27, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Less than a decade after a housing/derivatives bubble nearly wiped out the global financial system, a new and much bigger commodities/derivatives bubble is threatening to finish the job. Raw materials are tanking as capital pours out of the most heavily-impacted countries and into anything that look...
  • Absurd Gold Stock Levels…
    By on July 25, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold stocks suffered a full-blown panic this past week!  This exceedingly-rare magnitude of selloff was triggered by extreme futures shorting intentionally executed to force a flash crash in gold.  After gold’s major multi-year support failed in this Machiavellian onslaught, gold stocks plummete...
  • Housing Market: Is the Roof About to Cave In (Again)?
    By on July 22, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    During the subprime mortgage meltdown, the hardest-hit regions saw home price declines that exceeded 50%. Fast forward to the headlines today: Vancouver’s detached home prices at record high as demand soars (Globe and Mail, July 3) Hong Kong’s first-half home sales, prices at record h...
  • Record Gold/Silver Shorting
    By on July 18, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The miserable summer for precious metals grinds on, with both gold and silver limping along near major lows.  Such dismal price action has exacerbated the extreme bearishness long plaguing this sector, sparking even more capitulation.  But this incredible weakness will be short-lived, as it was dr...
  • China’s Stock-Bubble Burst
    By on July 11, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    China’s stock bubble has burst, with its stock markets utterly collapsing after rocketing parabolic.  The failure of this popular speculative mania has grave implications for the global stock markets.  It shatters the universally-believed myth that central banks can nullify normal market cycles....
  • Fed’s Full Normalization
    By on July 4, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The US Federal Reserve has been universally lauded for the apparent success of its extreme monetary policy of recent years.  With key world stock markets near record highs, traders universally love the Fed’s zero-interest-rate and quantitative-easing campaigns.  But this celebration is terribly ...
  • Extreme Gold/Silver Shorting
    By on June 27, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold and silver are languishing near major lows, trudging through the barren sentiment wasteland of the summer doldrums.  The major factor behind this weakness is extreme shorting by American futures speculators.  But their heavily-bearish bets are actually very bullish for both precious metals. ...
  • Gold Seasonals Bottoming
    By on June 17, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Gold remains deeply out of favor, languishing near major lows.  Traders are still convinced gold is going nowhere, and want nothing to do with it.  But provocatively that’s par for the course in early June, when gold slumps to its most-important seasonal low.  Gold’s seasonals are now bottomi...
  • The Q Ratio and Market Valuation: Monthly Update
    By on June 12, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market developed by Nobel Laureate James Tobin. It’s a fairly simple concept, but laborious to calculate. The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. Fortunately, th...
  • Turns Out There’s Already Competition In The Gold-B...
    By on June 12, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The splash that BitGold made recently by buying GoldMoney led many (including this writer) to assume that the Canadian start-up was pioneering the gold-backed currency space. But it turns out that Peter Schiff’s Euro Pacific Bank already allows non-US customers to buy gold and/or silver, store it ...
  • The Punch Bowl Stays
    By on June 12, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    It is well known that I don’t think much of the ability of government officials to correctly forecast much of anything. Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke have made famously clueless predictions with respect to stock and housing bubbles, and rank and file Fed economists have consistently overestimat...
  • As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World
    By on June 10, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    During the prior economic cycle of 2003-2007, one question I asked again and again was: Is the US running on a business cycle or a credit cycle? That question was prompted by a series of data I have tracked for decades; data that tells a very important story about the character of the US economy. Sp...

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