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  • Thursday Technical Review: Credit vs Equity
    By on February 3, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    I could really just keep changing the date and using the same Market Recap lately because the message has not changed. Credit VS Equity. One thing you’ll find here is consistency. May not like what I always write but I won’t waiver from what I see. Equity is trying desperately to breakout here. ...
  • Tuesday Technical Review: Credit
    By on February 1, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    Today’s Market Recap is more about credit because I believe that is where things are heating up. That is where capital is flowing to as equity still looks tired and in a slightly unorganized state. The headlines may say equity sold off at the open because of a Chicago PMI and Consumer Sentiment mi...
  • Thursday Technical Update: Treasuries vs Equities
    By on January 27, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    Today was another battle in the war between US Treasuries (UST) and equity. Both continue to try and breakout and move higher, something that is simply not sustainable. Let me rephrase that it is sustainable to an extent. That was the case over the past five months. After a breakout to all time hig...
  • US Treasuries and the S&P500.
    By on January 26, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    I don’t believe this market is going to come to a specific level and reverse giving an all clear signal to go short and or exit longs. The basis for that statement is in late July 2011 the market experienced a minor pullback off no major technical level that quickly turned into a major decline of ...
  • Complacency Risk Is High.
    By on January 24, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    As I was writing this past weekend’s newsletter “A Technical Review Of The Markets” it really dawned on me just how complacent investors have become on the economy, the markets and risk in general.  The mainstream media, and most of analysts, are looking at recent improvements i...
  • Monday Technical Review
    By on January 24, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    There are a lot of happy bulls out there right now with a level of complacency I don’t think I have ever seen. What I do find comical is many of these bullish individuals are claiming that credit is wrong here or the US has decoupled from various currencies pairs, etc. Where the comedy comes in th...
  • What If Your Broker Goes Bust?
    By on January 20, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    If investing seems harder than it used to, you’re not imagining things. U.S. stocks are down from a decade ago, the gold/silver miners haven’t kept up with the underlying metals, and though Treasury bonds have done pretty well, only a lunatic would count on them going forward. And now that MF Gl...
  • FAIL: Federal Reserve Attempts To Stimulate Lending
    By on January 18, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    Bernanke is trying every way he can to get banks to lend (printing coupled with a multitude of lending facilities and Fed programs). It’s easy enough to prove the printing: Base money supply is up about $1.8 trillion since the start of the recession. The charts below offer a stunning narrative...
  • Patiently Waiting For The Golden Cross
    By on January 17, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    Recently, we issued our market update as one of longer term weekly indicators issued a “buy signal”.    However, there is another indicator that is rapidly approaching the issuance of another buy signal which is known as the “Golden Cross”.  This is when the 50 day movin...
  • Friday Market Review: A Lonely Bear
    By on January 14, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    Completely different Market Recap today. In many ways I feel like I lost control of my own site. It’s not that I don’t welcome commentary I do but I get the sense my own views are being spun and turned back to me as chatter from a perma bear. If you have been a regular reader you know two things...
  • New Year, New High Hopes for Stocks
    By on January 12, 2012 | 1 Comment1 Comment  Comments
    You can probably relate: Every year, come January 1, I just can’t help but feel that “every little thing is gonna be all right,” as Bob Marley sang. This year, the mainstream financial community is sharing the same sentiment. Here’s how EWI’s Steve Hochberg summarized...
  • Market Throws Off Buy Signal.
    By on January 11, 2012 | No Comments  Comments
    I realize that this may be somewhat confusing given the overriding issues with the economy, the Euro-Zone, the upcoming political debate on raising the debt ceiling and upcoming pressures to corporate profit margins…but the S&P 500 registered a “buy”signal last week.  In this...

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