» bear market

We haven’t seen this analysis anywhere else, but it’s looking increasingly like global markets outside of the U.S. rolled over into a bear market last April, and that their rally off the October low was only a bear market rally within an ongoing bear market. We’ve been saying we expect on...

It’s an old market maxim that the stock market often climbs a wall of worry. In the current rally the S&P 500 has gained 29% since its October low, and the wall of worry it climbed has been impressive. Reports in October showed the economic slowdown in the first half of the year worsened in Ju...

For years now, US government bonds have looked like terrible investments, what with those trillion-dollar deficits and multiple wars and all. But Treasuries just kept rising, earning their owners nice returns and making their critics seem like financial illiterates who didn’t know a AAAA credit wh...

Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without crystal ball, we simply don’t know. One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities. An obvious feature of this inflation-adjusted is the patt...

This past week saw a massive rebound in global markets with double-digit gains in France and Germany. The S&P 500 had its best performance since the first week after the market low in March of 2009, but even with a 7.39% gain, it was in the bottom half of our gang of eight. The Shanghai Composit...

Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without crystal ball, we simply don’t know. One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities. An obvious feature of this inflation-adjusted is the patt...

It’s time again for the weekend update of our “Real” Mega-Bears, an inflation-adjusted overlay of three secular bear markets. It aligns the current S&P 500 from the top of the Tech Bubble in March 2000, the Dow in of 1929, and the Nikkei 225 from its 1989 bubble high. The chart...

Commodities seem to be following the same pattern as global stock markets. That makes sense since the stock market is concerned about slowing global economies, and slowing economies obviously mean less demand for raw materials used to produce and ship products. It can be seen in the way the CRB Inde...

Prior to the early May peak in the markets most investors and financial pundits were convinced we were still in a bull market and would see higher prices into the end of the year. Bullish sentiment was elevated, fear levels were low, and the economy appeared to be chugging along just fine. Two mon...

Do You Think That A New Bear Trend Has Started OR Is The Decline Since May Just Been A Correction In The Continued Bullish Up-Trend? Yes!. It's all downhill from here. (55%, 73 Votes) No!. it's just a pit stop on the way to new highs!. (45%, 59 Votes) Total Voters: 132  Loading ... ...

by Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform Is America On A Burning Platform? David Walker, the former Comptroller of the United States from 1998 until 2008, has been warning politicians, the media, and the American public for over a decade that we are off course and headed for disaster. In August 2007, b...

From www.zerohedge.com The BLS, as part of the NFP report, has issued its preliminary estimate of the benchmark revision, which confirms that the BLS is really just BS. According to the report, for the period ended March 2010, the BLS has overestimated jobs by 366,000 (0.3%), or just over 30K jo...