Logo Background RSS

Advertisement

» Dollar Collapse

  • 2007 All Over Again? Let Us Count The Ways (And Remem...
    By on April 18, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    There’s a journalistic sub-genre that might be called “The Highest/Lowest Since XXX,” in which a reporter takes a current statistic and illustrates (often with snazzy charts) how it hasn’t been this high or low since some date in the distant past. This is a compelling theme, implying as it d...
  • Is A Trap About To Be Sprung?
    By on April 17, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    New York artist Stephen Green’s latest painting, DemandedDislocation, combines current affairs irony with a deeply sad vision of the future. Check out the workers demanding higher wages in front of the discount robots store. Green’s point is that two big trends are intersecting: 1) The push by ...
  • OPEC Going Broke, Dumping Dollars. Is That Good Or Ba...
    By on April 17, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    When oil prices fell out of bed last winter there was much hand-wringing over the fate of the former beneficiaries of high-priced crude. Trillions of dollars of junk bonds issued by frackers, for instance, might default, oil field services companies could fail, and layoffs in the oil patch might swa...
  • Welcome To The Currency War: China Edition
    By on April 14, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Here’s one for the “seriously, you’re surprised?” file: China pegs its currency, the yuan, to the dollar, the dollar soars, taking the yuan with it…and fewer foreigners buy suddenly-much-more-expensive Chinese products. Duh. China’s Export Engine Loses Steam, Adding to Growth Pressure C...
  • What Gold’s Bull Market (That’s Right, Bull Marke...
    By on April 12, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    One of the oddities of floating exchange rates is that they cause people to view the world in terms of their own national currency. For Americans that means looking out through a window that is distorted by the dollar’s recent surge. A C$100-a-night Vancouver BC hotel room, for instance, cost abou...
  • GE Gets Out At The Top
    By on April 11, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Back in the early 2000s, General Electric — previously known as the world’s biggest, best managed maker of cool, useful things like jet engines and wind turbines — discovered that it could make even more money by exploiting its AAA credit rating to borrow cheap currency and lend it out at high...
  • More Scary Numbers
    By on April 9, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The list of things hitting cyclical peaks gets longer every day. Besides the nominal amounts (debt, derivatives, money supply) that are now at all-time highs, some “as a share of GDP” indicators are starting to say similar, very scary things: Corporate profits In a world of competition for scarc...
  • We’re All Hedge Funds Now, Part 2: Tech Startups an...
    By on March 28, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Watching formerly risk-averse investors adapt to a negative interest rate world is almost as much fun as watching Europe try to keep Greece and Germany in the same financial family. In each case, success depends on all the parties becoming something they really don’t want to be. On the negative in...
  • We’re All Hedge Funds Now
    By on March 26, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    As negative interest rates spread from Switzerland, Japan and Germany to the rest of the developed world, people with money to invest face some life-defining choices. Retirees who need to generate 6% to avoid dipping into principal can’t get there with bank CDs. Pension funds that have promised an...
  • How Low Can The Euro Go? (Or Is That The Wrong Questi...
    By on March 15, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The euro is tanking again, as the ECB starts buying bonds for its long-promised “whatever it takes” QE program. Today’s exchange rate move is dramatic enough to generate headlines like this, from Forbes: Euro Nears Parity With U.S. Dollar And the decline is accelerating: What we’re seeing h...
  • Aftershocks, Part 1: That Austrian Bank
    By on March 13, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Sometimes little things are the start of much bigger things. Probably the most famous historical example of this is the June 1914 assassination of an Austrian archduke who, it’s safe to say, 99% of the world had neither heard of nor cared about. But the aftershocks of the deed produced the biggest...
  • Apple iWatch and Some Crazy Gold Numbers
    By on March 10, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    As Apple starts selling its new smart watch there are some, well, crazy-sounding predictionscirculating about the amounts of gold the company might soon be buying. The math goes like this: Each gold version of the watch will contain around two ounces, and the company might sell 10 million of them a ...
  • Lowest Interest Rates EVER!
    By on March 2, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Business Insider’s Myles Udland just posted a chart, drawn from research by the Bank of England, showing interest rates for the past 3,000 years. And for all those who’ve been feeling like today’s “new normal” is actually profoundly abnormal, here’s your proof. It turns out that interest...
  • Another Reason To Worry About The Stock Market!
    By on February 26, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    The world is full of “carry trades” these days, and that’s a really bad thing. In general terms, a carry trade involves someone borrowing money cheaply in one currency or market and investing the proceeds in something else that offers a higher yield. The strategy is profitable as long as the c...
  • If Debt Was The Problem…
    By on February 26, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    Confounded Interest just posted a nice summary of a McKinsey report on the growth of global debt during what some persist in calling the “great deleveraging.” Turns out that since the crisis of 2008, debt has actually risen by $57 trillion, and the ratio of debt to GDP is up 17 percentage points...
  • Too Many Houses, Not Enough Jobs
    By on February 25, 2015 | No Comments  Comments
    This week’s existing home sales report was down another 4.9% to an annual rate of 4.82 million units, the lowest in nearly a year. And this, remember, is in the sixth year of a recovery with reported unemployment below 6% and the Fed preparing to raise interest rates to head off incipient ove...